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[코인뉴스] 공포 걷히자 탐욕 왔다…비트코인 조정 오나_我的网站

A |     공포·탐욕지수 2주 만에 25→65 급반등잭슨홀 앞두고 단기 과열 경계                   해당 이미지는 AI로 제작됨.[데일리안 = 김민희 기자] 비트코인이 8만 달러 돌파 이후 숨 고르기에 들어간 가운데 투자심리는 빠르게 회복되고 있다.불과 2주 전 '극단적 공포'에 머물렀던 시장 심리는 이제 '탐욕' 구간으로 올라섰다.다만 투자심리가 과열될수록 단기 조정 가능성도 함께 커질 수 있다는 분석이 나온다.26일 글로벌 가상자산 시황 플랫폼 코인게코에 따르면 이날 오후 4시 30분 기준 비트코인은 7만8944달러에 거래됐다.24시간 전보다 2.2% 하락한 수준이다.가상자산 시장 심리를 나타내는 공포·탐욕지수는 이날 65를 기록했다.전날 74보다는 낮아졌지만 여전히 '탐욕' 구간을 유지하고 있다.이 지수는 지난 12일 27을 기록했고, 6일에는 25까지 떨어지며 '극단적 공포' 단계에 진입했다.이후 비트코인이 8만 달러를 돌파하는 과정에서 투자심리가 빠르게 회복됐다.다만 시장에서는 지나친 낙관론을 경계해야 한다는 목소리도 나온다.공포·탐욕지수가 높은 수준을 유지할수록 단기 차익 실현 욕구가 커질 수 있기 때문이다.실제 과거에도 투자심리가 급격히 개선된 이후 변동성이 확대된 사례가 적지 않았다.시장 참가자들의 관심은 오는 29일(현지시간) 예정된 잭슨홀 심포지엄으로 향하고 있다.케빈 워시 연방준비제도(Fed) 의장이 처음으로 기조연설에 나설 예정인 가운데 향후 통화정책에 대한 발언 수위에 따라 위험자산 투자심리가 다시 영향을 받을 수 있다는 전망이다.시장에서는 비트코인이 단기 조정을 거치더라도 투자심리가 다시 위축되지 않고 '탐욕' 구간을 유지할 수 있을지가 이번 상승 흐름의 지속 여부를 가를 변수로 보고 있다.。    

    A BYD flagship store at the Ulmen car dealership on H?herweg Auto Mile in Düsseldorf, Germany, with new cars on display out front. Photo: VCG
Germany's industrial woes have increasingly become a hot topic of discussion. The latest Engineer Monitor report from professional association Verein Deutscher Ingenieure and the German Economic Institute offers a new look at the issue.
The report showed that there were 58,392 unemployed individuals in the engineering and information technology (IT) professions in the fourth quarter of 2025, the highest level since the survey began in 2011. 
Compared with the previous year, the number of unemployed increased by 16.7 percent, according to German media reports on Sunday.
These figures lay bare the challenges confronting the country's manufacturing sector. The reasons for the industrial woes are multiple. The soaring energy costs caused by geopolitical conflicts, the decline in exports caused by rising protectionism and low external demand, and the structural pain caused by industrial chain restructuring are all squeezing the space of German manufacturing.
Manufacturing is the backbone of Germany's economy, and engineers and IT specialists constitute the core force that sustains this pillar. For decades, the country's reputation for "Made in Germany" excellence was built on the expertise of these skilled professionals. Regardless of the macroeconomic ups and downs, preserving the stability and continuity of its industrial talent pool represents a strategic bottom line for Germany. 
Should large numbers of highly skilled technical professionals leave the industry or sit idle, industrial research and development (R&D) and production cycles will be disrupted. Over the longer term, such a waste of human capital will erode Germany's industrial innovation capacity and, ultimately, undermine the foundations of its global competitiveness.
In this context, the urgent task for Germany is to create sufficient quality positions for its technical talent. Should it fail to do so in the short term, then Germany needs to embrace a more open‑minded development approach. Shoring up its manufacturing base cannot be achieved solely through protecting domestic companies; it also requires a significant expansion of effective investment to create enough high‑quality jobs that can attract and retain skilled talent.
This is exactly where China‑Germany cooperation could deliver tangible results. According to the FDI Report 2025 published by Germany Trade & Invest (GTAI), the total number of foreign investment projects in Germany fell 9.3 percent overall to 1,564 in 2025. Nonetheless, Chinese companies became the largest source of foreign investment projects in Germany in 2025, overtaking the US for the first time since 2017. 
Chinese companies launched 228 investment projects in Germany in 2025, up 14.6 percent year-on-year. More than one in five Chinese investment projects involved production and R&D activities, above the overall average for foreign investment projects in Germany. This is a sign that Chinese firms are deepening their integration into the local industrial base, according to GTAI.
Observers noted the trend, pointing out that China is becoming an important force in driving German re‑industrialization. In industries where Germany urgently needs to rebuild its competitive edge, such as electric vehicles, batteries, energy technology, digital manufacturing, and automation, China is emerging as an increasingly significant complementary partner. In these critical areas that will determine industrial competitiveness in the coming decades, the relationship between China and Germany is not merely one of rivalry; there are clear and substantial complementarities. Germany still boasts world‑leading engineering expertise, precision manufacturing capabilities, and a strategic location at the heart of the European market. 
China has complete and highly integrated supply chains for raw materials and intermediate goods and large capacity for increasing production. When Chinese automakers set up R&D centers in Germany, or when Chinese tech firms collaborate with German factories to build smart production lines, the beneficiaries are not only the Chinese companies but also the German engineers who would otherwise face redundancy.
Cross‑border investment cannot flourish without a sound policy environment. Chinese companies are apparently willing to develop in Germany, but it can only happen on the premise that the German side provides a fair, reasonable and predictable business environment, reduces non-market interference in commercial activities, and allows capital to operate in accordance with market rules.
If the two countries are able to reach a deeper level of cooperation in investment, many of Germany's trade‑related concerns may well find more pragmatic solutions. The deep integration of industrial value chains would facilitate two‑way trade, creating renewed momentum for German exports of machinery, vehicles, chemicals, and other competitive products to China.
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Published on:14:41:40